It’s almost like a fact of life; the market will go up and go down, break records and hit all-time highs or lows. In short, the stock market can fluctuate as we have always seen and once it breaks records, people can swing either way about it. Whether they are positive or negative, one could think that becoming active on the market is a good course of action. On the other hand, another might feel as though they missed the mark and they can’t get in on the offers for the time being.
One thing is certain, no matter what the market is doing, investors should stay sensible. If the market is breaking records, it’s nothing new, it has happened before so new highs should not merit excitement or worry. Take it from Zack Shepard, the vice president of Matson Money, over the long-term the market generally rends to rise, so new highs may not be worth the hype. No one can predict what the market will do. Just because something may be trending now, tomorrow it could be down in the dumps. Financial coaches need to rein in their investors and discuss how market records can change in an instant.
If you are going to jump in and buy, hold on to it or just stay in it. Take for instance data published by the Center for Research and Security Pricing (CRSP) with respect to the CRSP 1-10, a stock market index representing the entire market cap of the New York Stock Exchange and other exchange equivalents. According to the historical data for the CRSP 1-10 index, the average 5-year annualized return after a new high since 1926 is 9.02%! Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future success. This index return information does not reflect actual investor results and no representation is made that your portfolio would experience similar results.
Indices are unmanaged, cannot be invested in directly and their returns do not represent the performance of any actual fund or transactions and do not include management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Just looking at the CRSP historical data, holding out could be beneficial, but that’s the beauty of the market. It can be a hard game to play, but if you look at your long-term portfolio and manage it well with diversified stocks, you could be on the way to more stable financial footing.